Man Booker Prize

2016 Man Booker Prize Longlist Prediction

On 27 July, the long list for this year’s Man Booker Prize will be announced.  Predicting the long list is extremely difficult, as the prize is open to any work of fiction first published in the UK between 1 October 2015 and 30 September 2016 that was originally written in English.

Last year I correctly predicted 3 of the 13 longlisted novels – hopefully I’ll do a little better this year!

My predictions (in no particular order) are:

  • The Sport of Kings by C. E. Morgan (Fourth Estate)
  • Under the Udala Trees by Chinelo Okparanta (Granta)
  • Beast by Paul Kingsnorth (Faber & Faber)
  • Your Heart is a Muscle the Size of a Fist by Sunil Yapa (Little Brown)
  • LaRose by Louise Erdrich (Corsair)
  • The Mandibles: A Family, 2029 – 2047 by Lionel Shriver (Borough Press)
  • The Noise of Time by Julian Barnes (Jonathan Cape)
  • Napoleon’s Last Island by Thomas Keneally (Sceptre)
  • Zero K by Don DeLillo (Picador)
  • The Tidal Zone by Sarah Moss (Granta)
  • Devotion by Ros Barber (Oneworld Publications)
  • The Essex Serpent by Sarah Perry (Serpent’s Tail)
  • The Outside Lands by Hannah Kohler (Picador)


I’ve only read one of these (The Essex Serpent) so far, although I do have Mandibles… and The Outside Lands.

What do you think – have you read any of these?  Is there anything you’d like to see longlisted?


  1. I definitely want to see The Essex Serpent and The Tidal Zone on the longlist too – I haven’t read The Tidal Zone yet but I’ve really enjoyed Sarah Moss’ other books. I enjoyed The Mandibles and although I don’t think it is Shriver’s best novel, it could still be nominated…

    1. Since the entry criteria changed a couple of years ago, I think it’s been really difficult to know who will appeal to the judges. Authors like Shriver (and DeLillo) who are publishing their first novels since the changes seem like the sort of authors who would have been listed previously, had the criteria allowed it. But the Booker has always been unpredictable – I’m sure there will be at least one on the long list that I’ve not heard of…

  2. I can’t wait to get read Sunil Yapa’s ‘Your heart is a muscle the size of a fist’ and I’m really hoping Okparanta’s Under the Udala Trees will be long listed. I haven’t read yet, but I will soon.

    1. I loved The Essex Serpent, and I’ll be really disappointed if it doesn’t make the long list. Would love to know what you thought of it once you’ve read it

Comments are closed.

%d bloggers like this: