Man Booker Prize 2015 – Short List Prediction

The short list for this year’s Man Booker Prize will be announced on Tuesday, and whilst I haven’t read as many of these as I’d hoped, I thought I’d share my prediction for the short list.

Of the 13 long listed titles, the favourite for some time has been A Little Life by Hanya Yanagihara.  And yet, I believe that the Man Booker Prize is a little bit like the Grand National, in that the favourite never wins.  Indeed, at this stage of the proceedings last year, the favourite to win was The Dog by Joseph O’Neill, which didn’t make the short list.

Based upon the bookmakers’s odds, the six favourites seem to be (1):

  • A Little Life by Hanya Yanagihara
  • Lila by Marilynne Robinson
  • The Green Road by Anne Enright
  • The Illuminations by Andrew O’Hagan
  • The Year of the Runaways by Sunjeev Sahota
  • A Spool of Blue Thread by Anne Tyler

Another perspective to consider is sales (2).  This isn’t entirely fair, as some books have been on sale for longer than others, but looking at the total sold since publication:

booker-2015-sales

 

Which gives a similar list, swapping The Year of the Runaways for A Brief History of Seven Killings.

Of those that I’ve read:

I really enjoyed The Fishermen and The Chimes, whilst The Illuminations didn’t quite do it for me.  I would love to see The Chimes on the short list – I thought it was something original, although I appreciate that it’s not to everyone’s taste.  Do I think that it will make the cut, however?  I’m going to include it, despite the information above, just because I enjoyed it so much.

I think that the Man Booker Prize is a tough one to guess, at any stage, but here’s my best guess at the short list:

  • A Brief History of Seven Killings
  • A Little Life
  • The Chimes
  • The Green Road
  • The Illuminations
  • The Moor’s Account

What do you think?  Have you read any of the long list?  Do you agree / disagree with any of my choices?

References:

(1) Odds were taken from Oddschecker on 13 September 2015 

(2) Sales were taken from The Bookseller article, published on 10 September 2015

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